System formed in Arabian Sea will turn into a storm by tomorrow, wind speed of 170 kmph, heavy rain expected on June 9-10 | System formed in Arabian Sea will turn into a storm by tomorrow, wind gusting to 170 kmph, heavy rain expected on June 9-10

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Ahmedabad17 minutes ago

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After two years of Taute Cyclone, there is a possibility of a ‘disaster’ of Cyclone hitting Gujarat again. The threat of another storm has arisen on the coast of Gujarat. According to the forecast of the Meteorological Department, a low-pressure system has formed in the Arabian Sea at a distance of 1120 km from Gujarat. This system is likely to turn into a storm by June 7-8. Wind speed of 170 kmph is expected in this storm. Navy and administrative system of Gujarat has become alert regarding this. Signal number 2 has been installed at all the ports of the state.

Currently this system is 1110 km away from Porbandar
Bangladesh named the storm ‘Biporjoy’, which means ‘disaster’. The system is currently centered 1110 km south-southwest of Porbandar, 900 km west-southwest of Goa, 1030 km south-west of Mumbai and 1410 km south of Karachi. This system is likely to move northward later this afternoon and develop into severe thunderstorms.

A signal number two was received at the Kandla port.

A signal number two was received at the Kandla port.

Signal number two at ports including Kandla, Mundra
As part of vigilance due to possible storm conditions, two number signals have been put up at ports including Kandla, Mundra in Kutch. It is not yet clear whether the storm will come to the coast of Gujarat or it will dissipate. The Meteorological Department is continuously monitoring the movement of this system. This system, which has turned into a deep depression, is expected to strengthen and turn into a severe cyclonic storm.

Signal No. 2 at Jaffrabad port
Apart from this, two number signals have also been installed at Jafarabad port. It seems that there is a current in the sea at Jafarabad. When talking about the coast of South Gujarat, no effect of this system is being seen at present.

Notice to fishermen not to plow the sea

Notice to fishermen not to plow the sea

The people of Kutch will not be freed from Bafara for a week
According to the Meteorological Department, the people of Kutch will not get relief from Baffara-upheaval for the next week or so. Even though the maximum mercury was recorded below 40 degrees yesterday with increasing wind speed, people felt the heat in the district in the afternoon. The Bafara, who sweat during the day and even at night, have forced the public to cry Trahimam.

Heavy rain forecast on June 9-10
The Meteorological Department has advised fishermen not to venture into the sea, as waves are rising in the sea. Heavy rain is also predicted on 9th and 10th June. If this storm hits the coast, there will be heavy rain. Looking at the track of the cyclone, it is also likely to make landfall towards Oman by June 12-13.

The storm will affect the entire coast of western India
This storm will affect the entire coast of western India. The low-pressure system is 1160 km from Mumbai, while 920 km from Goa. It is because of this storm that the monsoon has had an adverse effect on the coast of Kerala. The Meteorological Department has also not clarified when the monsoon will arrive on the Kerala coast.

52% increase in Arabian Sea storms due to global warming
It is not surprising that storms occur along the coast. But frequent storms in the Arabian Sea can be surprising. Because the Arabian Sea is not known for storms. Global warming makes hurricanes more aggressive. According to a study published in the science journal ‘Climate Dynamics’, the number of storms in the Arabian Sea has increased by 52 percent in the last 20 years. These are normal storms, but the number of severe cyclonic storms with speeds between 118 and 165 kilometers per hour has increased by 150 percent.

Impact will remain till June 15, monsoon will be delayed
This storm can take a terrifying form. From 7th to 9th June, the sea will become rough and wind speed of 60 to 90 kmph can be expected at sea. 70 km in Kantha area also. Wind speed of up to Monsoon may be delayed till June 15 due to this storm- Ambalal Patel (Meteorologist)

Monsoon has been stuck near Kerala for 5 days
This time monsoon is late. Stuck near Kerala for 5 days. However, there is no need to worry. Because, late onset of monsoon does not mean less rainfall. It has happened only 6 times in the history of independent India so far, when the monsoon has reached Kerala on its normal due date of 1 June. It has happened 11 times, when the monsoon reached before May 25. 11th monsoon has come since June 7.

10% more rain than normal in 8 years
It is worth noting here that the 8 years that have seen 10% above normal rainfall include 1983, when the monsoon arrived on 13 June. Similarly, out of the 14 years of drought, 9 times the monsoon arrived before June 1. So, we can say that late arrival of monsoon is not a particular problem. We predict that the monsoon will be normal this year.

The impact of the storm on the monsoon will now be known
A cyclone formed in the Arabian Sea turned into a hurricane within 24 hours. This storm will move northward parallel to the west coast in the sea in 4-5 days. Depending on the speed and direction of the storm, it will be clear by Wednesday evening how much it will affect the monsoon. The storm is currently 900 km west of the coast of Goa. On the other hand Monsoon is fixed at one place for 5 days north of the line.

Monsoon came early 3 times in 10 years

year Date
2022 May 29
2021 3 June
2020 June 1
2019 June 8
2018 May 29
2017 30 May
2016 June 8
2015 June 5
2014 June 6
2013 June 1

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